Elon Musk’s Grok joins Kalshi for real‑money predictions
Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence startup xAI has announced a new partnership with regulated prediction market Kalshi. The collaboration will see xAI’s chatbot Grok assist users trading on Kalshi’s real-money platform by offering real-time analysis of economic data, political events and market news.
Grok to support real-time event forecasting
Grok, developed by Musk’s xAI, will now play a role in helping users make informed decisions on Kalshi, a federally approved platform where traders can speculate on real-world events. These include outcomes like US Federal Reserve rate decisions, inflation data, or election results.
Through this partnership, Grok will analyse live news, historical trends, and economic indicators to provide fast summaries and insights. Kalshi traders may benefit from Grok’s ability to break down complex developments into easy-to-understand updates, supporting quicker and potentially more accurate predictions.
Effective immediately, Kalshi and xAI are partnering to bring Grok to prediction markets.
— xAI (@xai)
Two of the fastest growing companies in America are now on the same team. 🤝
While exact integration details were not disclosed, earlier reports had suggested that both companies would dedicate major engineering resources to the collaboration. Although that report was later retracted, the new announcement confirms that the two fast-growing firms are now officially working together.
Kalshi gains AI edge ahead of 2025 elections
Kalshi allows users to trade on the outcome of events through structured contracts. It operates under oversight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which distinguishes it from unregulated competitors in the crypto space.
The company is experiencing a sharp increase in activity, driven by rising interest in prediction markets tied to the 2025 presidential election. With Grok onboard, Kalshi now offers its users access to an advanced AI system capable of scanning and summarising vast amounts of data at high speed. This could enhance both user experience and trading accuracy.
Kalshi recently secured $185 million in funding and is positioning itself as a major player in the intersection of finance, politics, and data-driven forecasting.
Two prediction market strategies under one roof
The partnership adds a new layer to xAI’s strategy around prediction markets. Earlier this year, xAI and Musk’s social platform X selected Polymarket, a crypto-based and unregulated exchange, as their official prediction market partner.
Now, with Grok involved in both Kalshi and Polymarket ecosystems, xAI appears to be testing how its AI performs across different regulatory models. This could help the company fine-tune Grok’s features for both mainstream and decentralised platforms.
Grok 4, the latest version of the chatbot, was launched earlier this month. It comes with stronger reasoning, faster data processing and improved ability to retrieve relevant information. These upgrades are expected to play a role in Grok’s new role within prediction markets.
Political ties and market momentum
Both xAI and Kalshi have strong connections to political figures. Kalshi’s board includes Brian Quintenz, a former Trump-era CFTC nominee, and Donald Trump Jr. is listed as a strategic advisor to the company.
These affiliations may bring further attention as the political calendar heats up in the United States. With AI tools like Grok now entering regulated markets, the partnership signals a shift in how information is analysed and used in financial decision-making.
For xAI, the collaboration marks another step in expanding Grok’s reach across industries. For Kalshi, it may offer a competitive edge in a growing and closely watched sector.
